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Week 06  ·  Sunday 17 May 2026

Bets I'd put my mortgage on.

Not tips. Not predictions. Conviction picks. Every Saturday — bets I'd genuinely stake my mortgage on.

🏆 6 from 6 — 100% record 🔥
Arsenal vs Fulham — Over 1.5 Goals ✓ landed at 8/11 · FT 3–0
Burnley vs Aston Villa — BTTS ✓ landed at 4/5 · FT 2–2
This Week's Free Tip · Mon 18 May · 14:00
Premier League · Emirates Stadium · Sky Sports
Arsenal vs Burnley
Arsenal Team Goals Over 1.5
8/11
bet365
Arsenal are top of the league and need a win to stay ahead in the title race. Burnley are already relegated. Arsenal have won the first half in 8 of their last 10 away games as favourites. Burnley have no motivation, no organisation and nothing to play for. Arsenal scoring 2 or more goals at home against relegated Burnley at 8/11 is the value pick here.
8/10
Arsenal 1st half wins away
57
Burnley goals conceded
8/10
Burnley already relegated
Place on bet365 →
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This Week's Five Picks
Saturday's conviction picks are exclusive to members. Free subscribers get the weekly email. Join to unlock early Friday access and all member picks.
01 / 05
Premier League · Sat 26 Apr
████████ vs ████████████
Both Teams to Score
4/6
15:00
████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████
02 / 05
La Liga · Sat 26 Apr
████████ vs ████████
Over 2.5 Goals
8/11
20:00
████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████
03 / 05
Bundesliga · Sat 26 Apr
████████ vs ████████
Home Win
6/5
14:30
████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████
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Recent Results
Premier League · Sat 2 May · 17:30
Arsenal vs Fulham
Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals ✓ WON
8/11
FT: 3–0
Arsenal won 3-0. Dominant. Over 1.5 goals landed with ease at 8/11. Exactly as called.
Premier League · Sun 10 May · 15:00
Burnley vs Aston Villa
BTTS ✓ WON
4/5
FT: 2–2
Burnley and Villa both scored in a 2-2 draw. BTTS landed at 4/5. Another one called correctly.
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🔥 6 from 6 — 100% win rate
Every free weekly tip has landed. 6 from 6. One pending. No losses. No hiding. The record speaks for itself.
📌 This record tracks the free weekly mortgage bet only. Members' additional picks are tracked separately in the private Telegram group.
6
Bets Posted
5
Wins
0
Losses
Date
Match
Bet
Odds
Result
11 Apr
Brentford vs Everton
BTTS — Yes
4/6
✓ WON
18 Apr
Wolves vs Leeds
Leeds to Win
8/13
✓ WON
25 Apr
Arsenal vs Newcastle
Arsenal to Win
1/2
✓ WON
2 May
Arsenal vs Fulham
Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals
8/11
✓ WON
10 May
Burnley vs Aston Villa
BTTS — Yes
4/5
✓ WON
18 May
Arsenal vs Burnley
Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals
8/11
PENDING
Results updated after every bet. All results published — wins and losses.
6
Total Bets
100%
Win Rate
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Place It.

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★★★★★
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Betway
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Acca edge feature
Live streaming
Cash out
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Price boosts
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★★★★☆
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Cash out
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Free Weekly Tip

This Week's
Free Tip.

One free bet every week. No membership needed. Just the pick I believe in.

Sunday 17 May 2026 · 17:30 KO
Premier League · Emirates Stadium · Sky Sports
Arsenal vs Burnley
Arsenal Team Goals Over 1.5
8/11
bet365
Arsenal are top of the league and need a win to stay ahead in the title race. Burnley are already relegated. Arsenal have won the first half in 8 of their last 10 away games as favourites. Burnley have no motivation, no organisation and nothing to play for. Arsenal scoring 2 or more goals at home against relegated Burnley at 8/11 is the value pick here.
8/10
Arsenal 1st half wins away
57
Burnley goals conceded
8/10
Burnley already relegated
Place on bet365 →
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World Cup 2026 · Kicks Off 11 June

The
World Cup
Bet.

USA, Canada & Mexico. 48 teams. One winner. Here are the conviction picks for the biggest tournament on the planet.

40
Days to go
48
Teams
104
Matches
Outright Winner — Conviction Pick
2026 FIFA World Cup · USA, Canada & Mexico · Final: 19 July
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England to Win the World Cup
Outright Winner
9/2
bet365
England under Tuchel are playing a more aggressive, attacking style. They have genuine world class quality throughout — Bellingham, Saka, Foden, Kane. The expanded 48 team format benefits the big nations with easier early group stage games. Spain are slight favourites but Yamal's injury concern is real. England at 9/2 is the value pick in this field. It is coming home.
9/2
England odds
7/2
Spain odds
6/1
France odds
Place on bet365 →
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Golden Boot — Conviction Pick
⚽ Harry Kane — Top Scorer
Golden Boot
12/1
bet365
Kane is England's main striker and has been in outstanding form for Bayern Munich this season. If England go deep in the tournament — which at 9/2 we believe they will — Kane will rack up goals. He's the safest route to the Golden Boot at 12/1.
Place on bet365 →
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Dark Horse Pick
🇵🇹 Portugal to Win
Dark Horse
10/1
bet365
Portugal are generating serious bookmaker liability. Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, Leao — this squad has genuine quality beyond Ronaldo. At 10/1 they represent real each-way value for a team that could go very deep.
Place on bet365 →
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📌 More World Cup tips coming weekly as the tournament approaches. Group stage picks, match betting and in-tournament specials will be added from June. Members get them first.
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Last updated: April 2026

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